The Market Brief
U.S. stock index futures held steady on Tuesday as investors stayed cautious ahead of a highly anticipated Federal Reserve policy decision.
Impact Snapshot
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Macro Viewpoint
S&P 500 futures were mostly flat after the index paused its four-day winning streak. A recent drop in US Treasuries has dampened risk appetite, as investors weigh the pace of potential monetary easing following Wednesday’s Fed meeting.
For now, all eyes remain on the Fed’s decision and its outlook for 2026. Markets are currently pricing in an 89.4% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut this week.
Economic data scheduled for later Tuesday, including the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, will provide additional context ahead of the announcement.
🔄 Monday Re-Cap
Exactness in the market doesn’t exist. If something is too exact, be worried about it.
Today we explain a few data points on how we forecasted short-term weakness in the market on the back of poor price action on Friday, and how price followed the exact path we highlighted during our overnight plan on Monday.
If you want access to our entire reports, where we share our daily market plans with comprehensive contextual scenarios and pivots as you see in the video above, consider becoming a Subscriber.
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